Tuesday, April 13, 2004

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San Francisco 1, Bangalore 0

The Financial Times reports on a survey of global regions and their competitiveness in the knowledge economy. The results are interesting:

San Francisco has the most competitive knowledge economy in the world, as investment in both technology and people continues to boost the city's productivity, according to a report published today.

The world knowledge competitive index, collated by Robert Huggins Associates, a British-based economics consultancy, found that the world's top 14 knowledge economies were all in the US....

Only 10 regions outside the US made it into the top 50, with Stockholm taking 15th place and Uusimaa in Finland 19th, rising by three and 18 places respectively from the previous year .

"Europe continues to struggle to bridge the knowledge gap that would enable it to compete with the US regions," said Robert Huggins, the report's author.

"The location of high- technology clusters in Europe continues to be concentrated in a few regions."...

[F]or now, regions of China, India and eastern Europe dominate the bottom rankings of the index. Bangalore fared the worst, although its index score has increased by almost 300 per cent since last year, while Mumbai and Hyderabad were also at the bottom. (emphasis added)

Click here for Huggins Associates' press release on the survey, and here for the list of all 125 regions included in the survey.

UPDATE: The ever-alert Robert Tagorda finds Reuters making explicit the point I was being implicit about:

Chinese, Indian and Eastern European regions were at the bottom of the competitiveness league table, with Bangalore the lowest at 125th despite improving its index score by almost 300 percent since 2003.

Such results should allay concern in developed countries that high-skilled jobs would move to cheaper locations, the study suggested.

"Off-shoring is, and will continue to be, mainly restricted to a very particular type of employment requiring only a set of basic, generic, and transferable skills, rather than those high-level skills that create added value."

Check out Robert's post for more.


posted by Dan on 04.13.04 at 02:02 PM




Comments:

Dan: The Financial Times story leaves out one excerpt from the study that you might interesting:

Off-shoring is, and will continue to be, mainly restricted to a very particular type of employment requiring only a set of basic, generic, and transferable skills, rather than those high-level skills that create added value.

posted by: Robert Tagorda on 04.13.04 at 02:02 PM [permalink]



Seems to me that their numbers are skewed by the high population of deeply poor people in China and India.

The number of educated people might be tiny, relative to the overall population, but still very large relative to US cities.

posted by: Jon H on 04.13.04 at 02:02 PM [permalink]




The Huggins survey rates Hartford quite highly.

That makes no sense. Hartford is anything but a thriving high-tech region. The job market is sluggish, especially in tech.

Dan, why do you keep pulling out these pathetic marketing documents to support offshoring?

posted by: Jon H on 04.13.04 at 02:02 PM [permalink]



Fascinating look at the underlying forces at work. The future for Europe looks particularly bleak, given competition from Asia, the braindrain, and the influx of antagonistic immigrants with religious issues.

posted by: RB on 04.13.04 at 02:02 PM [permalink]



If you look at the regions, the ratings are stacked in favour of the US locations. The US areas are city-sized (i.e. San Fran, New Orleans, Hartford, etc.). In contrast, entire provinces or states in other countries count as regions (i.e. Ontario, Canada and New South Wales, Australia). Ontario is a huge province (roughly the same size as New York, Ohio, etc.) and has significant chunks of rural areas which will suck with this methodology and drive its results down. If you're not comparing regions that are reasonably similar in population, it's a bogus comparison (at least when you compare the US to the outside world, comparisons within the US may still be valid).

posted by: ramster on 04.13.04 at 02:02 PM [permalink]



Dan,

You know what - the very fact that Bangalore is being compared to SF gives it a win ! SF 1, Bangalore 0 - but Bangalore wins because it is promoted to major league.

posted by: Nitin on 04.13.04 at 02:02 PM [permalink]



Sorry to disappoint, Robert, but India continues to attract high-skilled tech jobs. Oracle is transferring 3,000 engineering jobs to India from... care to guess? Redwood Shores, California (heart of Silicon Valley). Ellison himself has argued, with much evidence and logic, that the glory days of rising software wages and software employment in the US are finished. Sure there will be a few highly-paid jobs, but the Indians have exposed the industry's little secret: programming is not terribly complicated. Most tech jobs do not require big brains and years of hard-won expertise.

This is replicated at the IT industry level. Anyone involved in technology deals for high value-added, highly-paid service vendors like Accenture, Wipro, Bearing Point etc can see that the US firms simply are not price-competitive with the Indian firms. BTW, did anyone notice that Tata is about to outsource thousands of INDIAN-based programming jobs to CHINA?

posted by: tombo on 04.13.04 at 02:02 PM [permalink]



I wonder what effect the relative tax rates of California, and the Valley in particular, had on pushing jobs out?

posted by: Bithead on 04.13.04 at 02:02 PM [permalink]



"I wonder what effect the relative tax rates of California, and the Valley in particular, had on pushing jobs out?"

Jobs are being outsourced to Canada, AFAIK not known as a low-tax nation.

posted by: Jon H on 04.13.04 at 02:02 PM [permalink]



Canadian outsourcing is waning. When one factors in the social costs and adds to that the dollar's decline, the Canadians aren't significantly cheaper anymore.

OTOH Indian outsourcing is here to stay. It's not just about cost. The major Indian outsourcing vendors--Wipro, Infosys, Tata--are in many ways BETTER at what they do than their US or European competitors. So, even if their rates rise in coming years, they may well continue to take share due to a process and quality advantage.

posted by: tombo on 04.13.04 at 02:02 PM [permalink]



If you're going to discuss a ranking, please link to the ranking. It's difficult for me to determine if the methodology is sound without knowing where *my* hometown ranks. :-)

posted by: decon on 04.13.04 at 02:02 PM [permalink]






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