Monday, July 30, 2007

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It's not so bad out there

Gideon Rose argues in the international edition of Newsweek that despite the dour headlines, the world is actually not going to hell in a handbasket... yet:

For all the whining and worrying in the United States and abroad, therefore—and for all the real and pressing problems that remain—the world has never had it so good. The most advanced countries are allies and are generally devoted to the betterment of their own and other peoples. More than a third of humanity lives in countries growing at about 10 percent annually. Living standards have never been higher, life spans longer or politics freer, and there is every reason to expect such trends to continue. This generally benign context, in which great-power war and depressions are extremely unlikely, is the backdrop against which less serious or more speculative problems—terrorism, diplomatic rivalries, slow or unevenly distributed growth, future climate changes—loom large.

It is crucial to remember, however, that our generally happy condition is neither accidental nor inevitable. It is the result of wise choices made by leaders and publics in decades past—a legacy that could be squandered if we take things like great-power peace or an open global trading system for granted, or get spooked into rash or imprudent actions that create more problems than they solve.

This was the Bush administration's real failure: intoxicated by self-righteous hubris, it never understood that dominance could be exercised but legitimate authority had to be earned. So it scorned the routine diplomatic maintenance necessary to keep the system in good working order, only to find itself isolated when its pet projects came a cropper. At this point, having squandered most of his capital and having defined himself so starkly through his initial policies, there is little Bush can do to change anyone's mind about anything. His successor, however, will get a fresh start. And if the next administration can avoid Bush's mistakes, it should find keeping the world on track much easier than most currently expect.

posted by Dan on 07.30.07 at 10:55 AM




Comments:

Gee, maybe this means that the world doesn't need the US to keep it on track.

posted by: Norman Pfyster on 07.30.07 at 10:55 AM [permalink]



How will another Republican get elected if the world isn't going to hell in a hand basket?

posted by: Lord on 07.30.07 at 10:55 AM [permalink]



"How will another Republican get elected if the world isn't going to hell in a hand basket?"

If I were an unthinking partisan Republican, I might suggest the easiest way to get a Republican elected is to first elect a Democrat.

The converse is, of course, also true.

posted by: kwo on 07.30.07 at 10:55 AM [permalink]



intoxicated by self-righteous hubris

Man, get this guy an editor. Oh, he is one.

posted by: Mitchell Young on 07.30.07 at 10:55 AM [permalink]



You heard it here. The best Republican strategy is to vote Democratic. ;-)

posted by: Lord on 07.30.07 at 10:55 AM [permalink]



Interesting that he states "...politics freer, and there is every reason to expect such trends to continue" -- then points out that this condition is a product of past choices but then berates Bush for acting. Many, including me, may think he acted poorly but to discount the rise of radical Islam across the globe as a force for less freedom is to dicount significant demographic and political shifts.

posted by: GFBook on 07.30.07 at 10:55 AM [permalink]



Interesting that he states "...politics freer, and there is every reason to expect such trends to continue" -- then points out that this condition is a product of past choices but then berates Bush for acting. Many, including me, may think he acted poorly but to discount the rise of radical Islam across the globe as a force for less freedom is to dicount significant demographic and political shifts.

posted by: GFBook on 07.30.07 at 10:55 AM [permalink]






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