![]() |
|
Tuesday, October 16, 2007
previous entry | main | next entry | TrackBack (0)
Comparing and contrasting McCain and Clinton
Foreign Affairs has released the latest foreign policy visions of the candidates (faithful readers of the blog will remember that Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, and John Edwards have Hillary Clinton, "Security and Opportunity for the Twenty-first Century." John McCain, "An Enduring Peace Built on Freedom." Having read through the essays, I have two thoughts.... The first is the diametrically opposed logics these two candidates bring to Iraq. Here's Clinton: Ending the war in Iraq is the first step toward restoring the United States' global leadership. The war is sapping our military strength, absorbing our strategic assets, diverting attention and resources from Afghanistan, alienating our allies, and dividing our people. The war in Iraq has also stretched our military to the breaking point. We must rebuild our armed services and restore them body and soul.And then there's McCain: Defeating radical Islamist extremists is the national security challenge of our time. Iraq is this war's central front, according to our commander there, General David Petraeus, and according to our enemies, including al Qaeda's leadership....I'm not sure I agree with either Clinton or McCain. The Senator from Arizona is vastly inflating the importance of groups like Al Qaeda in Iraq, but I can't see how the Senator from New York thinks a complete withdrawal -- and the internal chaos that will go with it -- will "enable us to play a constructive role in a renewed Middle East peace process." That said, these two essays are easily the best of the bunch. Both Clinton and McCain -- or at least, the staffers who wrote these pieces -- have a better grasp for policy detail and means-ends relationships than the other candidates. Clinton, in contrast to either Obama or Edwards, makes the connection between a withdrawal from Iraq and a more generous policy towards Iraqi asylum-seekers. She occasionally suffers from the fairy dust that is the word "engagement," but otherwise she hits the appropriate marks. Also, not for nothing, but this essay is much more clearly written than the other essays in the mix. McCain, more than any other candidate, gets the connection between trade policy and foreign policy. He explicitly connects improving America's image in Latin America and ratifying the bevy of trade agreements from that region. He also pushes for a completion of the Doha round. His "League of Democracies" idea sounds awfully familiar, and I'm not sure it will fly. That said, this essay is a vast improvement over the other Republican challengers. posted by Dan on 10.16.07 at 10:14 PMComments: points (I suppose) for actually reading all this tripe. bonus question: what relationship, if any, do you think there will be between what the candidates say her and what they do once in office? direct? inverse? none at all? lc posted by: lamont cranston on 10.16.07 at 10:14 PM [permalink]Documents written by committee are always heavy going, and these are not exceptions. Sen. McCain's sounded as if it were designed as a repository for a fairly large number of ideas, not all of them closely related to one another but most of them originating with the candidate himself. It is pretty heavy with proposals to create new institutions -- a new OSS, a new USIA, some kind of military civil society corps. I agree with Dan that McCain's is the best statement of all the candidates' on trade. It recognizes mistakes of and some problems arising from the approach the Bush administration has taken to foreign policy, but breathes no word of criticism of Bush himself. This is not, unfortunately, a mere campaign expedient, for the core of McCain's document is a commitment to continue Bush's policy in Iraq, apparently in perpetuity, because unimaginable disasters are certain to happen if America does not maintain a large army in that country. This commitment vitiates most of the other ideas McCain proposes, for with Iraq still commanding vast resources as well as most of the attention of the White House, Pentagon and State Department there will be little money and less time to make them a reality. Except for the Iraq section, McCain's manifesto would have been a very good statement to have emerged from his 2000 campaign. It's 2007, though, and with McCain committed to staying George Bush's course in Iraq a President McCain would have mostly talk with which to address the other subjects this document discusses. Sen. Clinton's statement does not give one the impression that the ideas in it originated with her, though one expects she either has already or is able to memorize all the talking points in their favor. She proposes a lot of initiatives, but does not promise to create as many institutions as McCain's statement does. Her statement does not lack for criticisms of President Bush's policies; they are expressed in a notably bloodless tone, and one would never remember any of them without having the relevant phrases repeated over and over (this is probably the key element in Clinton's election strategy), but they are still criticisms. Clinton more than McCain uses the statement in Foreign Affairs to comment on the performance of other governments and international organizations -- the governments of Malawi and Mauritania are doing this or that, the African Union has a long way to go, and so forth. The reasoning behind this escapes me. Much more curious is the fact that a candidate who is only considered a potential President because she is Bill Clinton's wife has nothing to say about Clinton administration foreign policy. I suppose there is sound reasoning behind that, and I can guess as to what some of it is (e.g. if you're calling for more and better public diplomacy you don't want to step on your message by mentioning that your husband was the one who presided over the dismantling of the agency that did public diplomacy ten years ago), but you don't have to listen long to hear Republicans still talking about the foreign policy successes of the two-term President who preceeded Clinton, and none of them are named Reagan. The tightrope Clinton is walking on Iraq has been much discussed already. She is for withdrawal from Iraq, but she wants to be sure nothing bad happens there while we are leaving or after we are gone. This represents gestures being made at the same time to antiwar Democratic primary voters and...someone else, or maybe to something else, namely the perceived political nightmare that a second President Clinton would face if any of the disasters John McCain predicts would follow an American withdrawal actually happen. Can withdrawal happen without leaving some pretty bad things in its wake? No. Can we prevent all those bad things, with an intensive diplomatic initiative and talking to our adversaries? No. But we haven't withdrawn yet, and the bad things haven't happened yet, so we can talk about them, which Sen. Clinton's statement does. McCain and Clinton are as one on an important though currently obscure point: they each propose lots of new initiatives, and they each do not propose any way to pay for them. No new revenue, no reductions in the vast Pentagon procurement budget, and no cuts anywhere else in the government. Sen. Clinton at least mentions the huge ongoing cost of the Iraq war and the needs left unmet because of it. But it isn't clear that those costs will be going anywhere soon if she becomes President, though she promises to get a committee talking about withdrawal right away. Campaign statements like these are valuable from my point of view if they provide a window into the candidate's thinking -- not just what the candidate thinks about foreign policy, but how much he thinks about it and whether the thinking is his own or just borrowed from someone else to get through the campaign. Clinton's statements suggests mostly borrowed thinking, and most of her other public statements suggest someone who would prefer to spend time thinking about something else, perhaps education, health care or fundraising. I'm more prepared to believe McCain's statement represents his own thinking. I'd be more admiring of that were that thinking not so completely wrong on the salient foreign policy issue of the day. posted by: Zathras on 10.16.07 at 10:14 PM [permalink]Sorry, Zathras, but one of the few things McCain is right about is Iraq. Repeating the phrase "Bush's policy" over and over to make victory in Iraq sound like a bad idea is not an argument. (Incidentally, a bigger commitment now probably speeds the day we can get out on favorable terms.) In any case, I have yet to hear anyone suggest a better or more important place for us to defeat and discredit al Qaeda and its epigones. What would you do with resources allegedly "freed up" by a withdrawal from Iraq? posted by: srp on 10.16.07 at 10:14 PM [permalink]Zathras: Whether these essays are "by committee" is irrelevant, as you yourself note they represent the key proposals of the respective campaigns. In this respect, Hillary's piece is a disaster. It's not that she walking "a tightrope." She simply can't find any footing at all - flippity-floppity is her game. Wrong again on Hillary not endorsing her husband's administration's foreign policy: The names are changed (it's not Bosnia or Haiti today), but the basic thrust remains the same: Foreign policy as social work. Every item possibly under the global sun is a matter for America's rectification, and especially on the humanitarian side, since she's so resistant to the assertion of American hard power (she's all about restoring U.S. moral legitimacy after Iraq, blah, blah...). Of all the candidates who've written in the Foreign Affairs series, McCain's clearest on the new challenges to America's national interests. He particularly good on how to rebuild the military and on the need for alliances over hokum-pokem "multilateralism." Yes, he overdoes it on proposing new international bodies, though some of the ideas are good. He needs to back off the rhetoric about rebuilding international trust, etc. He sounds more like the Dems on that score. posted by: Americaneocon on 10.16.07 at 10:14 PM [permalink]Post a Comment: |
Politics, economics, globalization, academia, pop culture... all from a
Main home page Reviews of DanielDrezner.com: "Sharp but informal commentary on politics and foreign policy." -- The New Republic "Dan Drezner is terrific.... Excellent blog." -- Andrew Sullivan "Dan's stuff is always worth reading." -- Eugene Volokh "One of the essential weblogs." -- Gawker.com "Old battle horse of the blogosphere." -- Jewcy.com "Soft porn." -- Amitai Etzioni "Spawned grave atrocities and vast destruction." -- Glenn Greenwald "Monday morning quarterback... conservative robot... the very foundation of troubles in this country." -- not-so-random readers Contact me at: ddrezner@gmail.com (But click here to read my e-mail policy) Search the Site TNR's Open University Jacob Levy Glenn Reynolds Andrew Sullivan Mickey Kaus Virginia Postrel The Volokh Conspiracy Josh Marshall Crooked Timber OxBlog Real Clear Politics Kevin Drum Across the Aisle Economist's Free Exchange TNR's The Plank NRO's The Corner TAP's Tapped America Abroad Duck of Minerva Opinio Juris Brad DeLong Jeff Jarvis Mystery Pollster Mark Kleiman Meryl Yourish Megan McArdle Marginal Revolution Michael Munger Chris Lawrence Matthew Yglesias Hit and Run Cold Spring Shops Stephen Green Outside the Beltway Pejman Yousefzadeh Laura McKenna (11D) Elected Swineherd Phil Carter Joe Gandelman Winds of Change Andrew Samwick Greg Mankiw Dani Rodrik Roger L. Simon Tom Maguire Greg Djerejian The American Scene Post Global Democracy Arsenal Recent articles online "Foreign Policy Goes Glam."The National Interest, November/December 2007 "Rise of the Hipster Statesmen." Newsweek International, November 1, 2007 "The New New World Order." Foreign Affairs, March/April 2007 "Mind the Gap." The National Interest, January/February 2007 "The Grandest Strategy Of Them All." Washington Post, December 17, 2006 U.S. Trade Strategy: Free Versus Fair Council on Foreign Relations Press, September 2006. Complete online article archive Blog Archives June 2008May 2008 April 2008 March 2008 February 2008 January 2008 December 2007 November 2007 October 2007 September 2007 August 2007 July 2007 June 2007 May 2007 April 2007 March 2007 February 2007 January 2007 December 2006 November 2006 October 2006 September 2006 August 2006 July 2006 June 2006 May 2006 April 2006 March 2006 February 2006 January 2006 December 2005 November 2005 October 2005 September 2005 August 2005 July 2005 June 2005 May 2005 April 2005 March 2005 February 2005 January 2005 December 2004 November 2004 October 2004 September 2004 August 2004 July 2004 June 2004 May 2004 April 2004 March 2004 February 2004 January 2004 December 2003 November 2003 October 2003 September 2003 August 2003 July 2003 June 2003 May 2003 April 2003 March 2003 February 2003 January 2003 December 2002 November 2002 October 2002 September 2002 Academia Area studies Book club culture economics fence-sitting from Blogger globalization homeland security international relations law Mediasphere My very important posts New Republic outsourcing personal politics Sports The blog paper the blogosphere thesis ideas Trade and Development U.S. foreign policy website maintenance See full archives listing Recent Entries • Someone keep Fleet Street away from Bill Clinton• It rivals Buckley vs. Vidal, I tell you • So.... are the Clintons morons? • The New York Times didn't ask me, but then again, that's why I have this blog • Monica Crowley's jet black pot • Al Qaeda is losing • Speaking of karma.... • The blog post that writes itself • What made me laugh today • Where should Hillary go? Site Credits |