Thursday, August 24, 2006

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Those dirty Polynesian rats

I'm a big fan of Jared Diamond's Guns, Germs and Steel, and still need to read his sequel, Collapse. However, Terry L. Hunt has an essay in the latest issue of The American Scientist that calls into question Diamond's central case study in Collapse -- the decline and fall of the Rapa Nui on Easter Island:

In the prevailing account of the island's past, the native inhabitants—who refer to themselves as the Rapanui and to the island as Rapa Nui—once had a large and thriving society, but they doomed themselves by degrading their environment. According to this version of events, a small group of Polynesian settlers arrived around 800 to 900 A.D., and the island's population grew slowly at first. Around 1200 A.D., their growing numbers and an obsession with building moai led to increased pressure on the environment. By the end of the 17th century, the Rapanui had deforested the island, triggering war, famine and cultural collapse.

Jared Diamond, a geographer and physiologist at the University of California, Los Angeles, has used Rapa Nui as a parable of the dangers of environmental destruction. "In just a few centuries," he wrote in a 1995 article for Discover magazine, "the people of Easter Island wiped out their forest, drove their plants and animals to extinction, and saw their complex society spiral into chaos and cannibalism. Are we about to follow their lead?" In his 2005 book Collapse, Diamond described Rapa Nui as "the clearest example of a society that destroyed itself by overexploiting its own resources."

Two key elements of Diamond's account are the large number of Polynesians living on the island and their propensity for felling trees. He reviews estimates of the island's native population and says that he would not be surprised if it exceeded 15,000 at its peak. Once the large stands of palm trees were all cut down, the result was "starvation, a population crash, and a descent into cannibalism." When Europeans arrived in the 18th century, they found only a small remnant of this civilization....

When I first went to Rapa Nui to conduct archaeological research, I expected to help confirm this story. Instead, I found evidence that just didn't fit the underlying timeline. As I looked more closely at data from earlier archaeological excavations and at some similar work on other Pacific islands, I realized that much of what was claimed about Rapa Nui's prehistory was speculation. I am now convinced that self-induced environmental collapse simply does not explain the fall of the Rapanui.

Radiocarbon dates from work I conducted with a colleague and a number of students over the past several years and related paleoenvironmental data point to a different explanation for what happened on this small isle. The story is more complex than usually depicted.

The first colonists may not have arrived until centuries later than has been thought, and they did not travel alone. They brought along chickens and rats, both of which served as sources of food. More important, however, was what the rats ate. These prolific rodents may have been the primary cause of the island's environmental degradation. Using Rapa Nui as an example of "ecocide," as Diamond has called it, makes for a compelling narrative, but the reality of the island's tragic history is no less meaningful....

There is no reliable evidence that the island's population ever grew as large as 15,000 or more, and the actual downfall of the Rapanui resulted not from internal strife but from contact with Europeans. When Roggeveen landed on Rapa Nui's shores in 1722, a few days after Easter (hence the island's name), he took more than 100 of his men with him, and all were armed with muskets, pistols and cutlasses. Before he had advanced very far, Roggeveen heard shots from the rear of the party. He turned to find 10 or 12 islanders dead and a number of others wounded. His sailors claimed that some of the Rapanui had made threatening gestures. Whatever the provocation, the result did not bode well for the island's inhabitants.

Newly introduced diseases, conflict with European invaders and enslavement followed over the next century and a half, and these were the chief causes of the collapse....

I believe that the world faces today an unprecedented global environmental crisis, and I see the usefulness of historical examples of the pitfalls of environmental destruction. So it was with some unease that I concluded that Rapa Nui does not provide such a model. But as a scientist I cannot ignore the problems with the accepted narrative of the island's prehistory. Mistakes or exaggerations in arguments for protecting the environment only lead to oversimplified answers and hurt the cause of environmentalism. We will end up wondering why our simple answers were not enough to make a difference in confronting today's problems.

Ecosystems are complex, and there is an urgent need to understand them better. Certainly the role of rats on Rapa Nui shows the potentially devastating, and often unexpected, impact of invasive species. I hope that we will continue to explore what happened on Rapa Nui, and to learn whatever other lessons this remote outpost has to teach us.

posted by Dan on 08.24.06 at 09:24 AM




Comments:

Once one understands the concept of an ecology, the idea that an isolated island of a few hundred square kilometers isn't going to maintain a stable population of any mammal larger than a mouse for very long isn't much of a stretch. It doesn't seem to me that such an environment is a good laboratory/model for the environment on the continents; the scaling is not linear and the effects are different.

Cranky

posted by: Cranky Observer on 08.24.06 at 09:24 AM [permalink]



But as a scientist I cannot ignore the problems with the accepted narrative of the island's prehistory. Mistakes or exaggerations in arguments for protecting the environment only lead to oversimplified answers and hurt the cause of environmentalism.


That's an attitude I wish was more common in the environmentalist movement.

posted by: rosignol on 08.24.06 at 09:24 AM [permalink]



So they put Basil in the Rapa Nui. Is that what Hunt is saying?

posted by: Zathras on 08.24.06 at 09:24 AM [permalink]



Diamond's book contains the poignant image of the last tree on Easter Island being cut down. Were there any trees left when Europeans arrived? That seems like a key fact that is left out.

In any case, Diamond is a scientist and would, I assume, be willing to change his views if presented with new evidence. That is not always true of scientists though--hence the concept of the paradigm shift. A fundamental change in thinking on a particualr scientific topic rarely happens overnight, no matter how good the evidence. The scientists who championed the old idea eventually retire and die and are replaced by champions of the new idea.

Given this about scientists, it is hardly surprosing that non-scientists (including environmentalists) have a hard time accepting new data. I would contend that anti-environmentalists are equally as stubborn!

posted by: RWB on 08.24.06 at 09:24 AM [permalink]



A society that destroyed itself, or at least much of its environment, through its own ignorance is an improvement?

posted by: Lord on 08.24.06 at 09:24 AM [permalink]



Agreed, rosignol. Diamond's friend Paul Ehrlich hasn't been open to evidence much. Buuuuuut . . . as I pointed out in my blog post on this excellent article

http://blogs.chicagoreader.com/daily-harold/2006/08/22/easter-island-did-rats-destroy-it/,

the professional anti-environmentalists also need to adopt this point of view, rather than using these new scientific findings as a platform for arguing that environmental concerns are unfounded across the board.

posted by: Harold Henderson on 08.24.06 at 09:24 AM [permalink]



For me, the message is that a milder form of environmentalism is justified. Specifically, humans often bring species to new environments that have huge impacts and that we should really care about this. In this case, the author argues that the transportation of the polynesian rat completely changed the Easter Island ecosystem.

Species transplantation is less sexy than the typical green alarmism, but it is probably a genuine problem. For example, new species might devastate native species that provide food or shelter to people. New species can also become nuisances and even have damaging effects on economies (see the case of the plants that now clog parts of certain rivers). And of course, if we intrinsically value species, for aesthetic or other reasons, we should be alarmed when they are wiped out by new species.

So while this article is a refutation of the most alarmist environmentalist interpretations of Easter island history, it still points to a real problem that doesn't yet have a decent solution.

posted by: Fabio Rojas on 08.24.06 at 09:24 AM [permalink]



European visitors seem to be the primary predictor of native destruction in that part of the word. Randy Newman's song "The Great Nations of Europe" captures this with exquisite black humor.

The idea that non-native species are an unequivocally bad thing, though, is nonsense. It all depends on whether we like the new ecology better than the old one. Taro isn't native to Hawaii, for example.

posted by: srp on 08.24.06 at 09:24 AM [permalink]



How long does a species have to exist in a given environment before it's considered "native"? Aren't all so-called "native" species just "invasive" species that got there first? It sometimes seems that the only acceptable state of the planet for environmentalists is a static, unchanging one -- no migration, no evolution, no extinction, no speciation.

posted by: Christopher Rasch on 08.24.06 at 09:24 AM [permalink]



It sometimes seems that the only acceptable state of the planet for environmentalists is a static, unchanging one -- no migration, no evolution, no extinction, no speciation.

It's nice to see I'm not the only one who has noticed that.

The current crop of environmentalists (not necessarily the scientists, but the rank-and-file types out in the streets) seem to think that the world has always been as it is now, despite all evidence to the contrary, and that any significant change must be due to human activity.

posted by: rosignol on 08.24.06 at 09:24 AM [permalink]



Again, dashed lines through all but the first line of every paragraph and all comments posted at the same time. Why is this?

posted by: lee on 08.24.06 at 09:24 AM [permalink]



It's been a while since I read Collapse but it seems to me Diamond focused on the moai and the social and ecological infrastructure needed to sculpt, move, and erect these figures. The idea that this infrastructure collapsed suddenly is borne out by the number of moai abandoned in various stages of completion and transport. The timing and proximate cause of the collapse may be challenged, but I don't see anything in the article to challenge the underlying thesis--the Easter Islanders did not have a social structure capable of managing their environment.

posted by: Bill Harshaw on 08.24.06 at 09:24 AM [permalink]



I read a history of Easter Island about 50 years ago, written by Thor Heyerdahl.

It suggested that the Polynesians killed off most of the moai makers.

What happenned? Did the past change? Did I miss something?

posted by: Hinheckle Jones on 08.24.06 at 09:24 AM [permalink]



Commenters made a good point in that there is no intrinsic reason to care that a species moves to a new environment. No ecological system is static. But as I mentioned earlier, new species are occassionally dangerous/annoying to humans or the animals they depend on. We might also care for aesthetic reasons. If the pandas all died because the polynesian rat ate all the good bamboo, I think we'd be missing a very good looking animal!

posted by: Fabio Rojas on 08.24.06 at 09:24 AM [permalink]



It sometimes seems that the only acceptable state of the planet for environmentalists is a static, unchanging one -- no migration, no evolution, no extinction, no speciation.

Remember that the important thing is what happens at the margin. If the truth is that we're making inpredictable ecological changes far too quickly, it doesn't matter how silly the most doctrinaire ecology fans are while they're pulling in the right direction.

If at some time we divide the world into many small ecological zones and we are careful never to allow transfer of new species across zones until after careful stufy for 2000 to 5000 years, at that point econuts who want to bring the rate of change to zero will become a concern.

posted by: J Thomas on 08.24.06 at 09:24 AM [permalink]



If the truth is that we're making inpredictable ecological changes far too quickly, it doesn't matter how silly the most doctrinaire ecology fans are while they're pulling in the right direction.

Actually, it damn well does matter.

The Boy Who Cried Wolf was right the last time, but because he had lied so many times before he was understandably ignored.

You can only set off people's bullshit-alarms so many times before they stop listening - and if the results are bad then it is the bullshitter who bears the moral responsibility, not the people who failed to listen the one time he wasn't lying.

posted by: xipetotec on 08.24.06 at 09:24 AM [permalink]



There is a great article about this topic called From Genocide to Ecocide: The Rape of Rapa Nui, part of which can be found here:
http://anthropology.tamu.edu/RapaNui.html
with full pdf here:
http://www.staff.livjm.ac.uk/spsbpeis/EE%2016-34_Peiser.pdf

posted by: Tim Maull on 08.24.06 at 09:24 AM [permalink]






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